Education Bills Seeking to Overhaul School Curriculum Advance in Indiana Legislature

By Casey Smith | Originally posted on Yahoo.com

Broad career readiness initiatives, changes to K-12 literacy curriculum and incentives for up-and-coming teachers are at the heart of multiple education bills advancing through the Indiana legislature.

State lawmakers in House and Senate education committees collectively took up more than a dozen bills on Wednesday. Most of those measures advanced or are scheduled for committee votes next week.

Here’s a snapshot of the latest education-related developments at the statehouse.

The House education committee approved, 8-4, a wide-ranging bill that seeks to “reinvent” high school curriculum. Bill author Rep. Chuck Goodrich, R-Noblesville, said his proposal — a priority bill for the caucus — aims to narrow the “skills gap” between Hoosiers and employers.

The bill seeks to expand work-based learning in Indiana high schools, like apprenticeships and internships.

It would also create career scholarship accounts that are similar to Indiana’s school choice voucher program. Grants could be used by students in grades 10-12 to pay for career training courses, apprenticeships and certifications outside of the student’s school district.

The amount each participating student can receive to pay for apprenticeships, coursework, or certification would be based on a calculation of the state dollars that their school receives.

Democrats pushed back on the bill, however, saying language around credentialing programs is still too vague.

New teacher incentives

House lawmakers additionally supported two bills that seek to increase state scholarship dollars available to future teachers.

One of the proposals would increase certain scholarship amounts in an effort to attract more students into teaching — particularly black, indigenous and people of color (BIPOC).

Attracting educators of color has been an ongoing concern for local schools and policy makers. Indiana had 79,120 full-time teachers in the 2019-20 school year, according to state data. Of those, 92% were white.

Those who testified in support of House Bill 1637 said the increased dollars would help BIPOC educator recruitment — good news for Indiana’s ongoing teacher shortage. Supporters said the bill would also provide much-needed support to address achievement gaps among Hoosier students of color.

The bill passed 12-0 out of the House education committee.

A separate measure, House Bill 1528, would allow Hoosiers in an alternative teacher certification program to apply for up to $10,000 under the Next Generation Hoosier Educators scholarship program.

The bill passed 13-0 with an amendment to limit the program to $1 million. Democrats expressed concern that the funding won’t be enough. Rep. Bob Behning, R-Indianapolis, who chairs the committee, said the current spending ceiling is intended to keep the bill from getting killed in the the fiscal-minded ways and means committee.

Automatic enrollment for 21st Century Scholars program

Another bill heard in the House education committee would automatically enroll eligible Hoosier students in the 21st Century Scholars program — a statewide grant program that funds student attendance at two- and four-year schools.

House Bill 1449, authored by Rep. Earl Harris Jr., D-East Chicago, unanimously passed the committee and now heads to the full House for further consideration.

“Thousands of students a year miss out on opportunities that 21st Century Scholars can provide for them,” Harris said. “Not having this funding there to help with education — for a lot of a lot of people — means they do not continue their education … it affects the future of our workforce here in the state of Indiana.”

Indiana Gov. Eric Holcomb made automatic enrollment in the 21st Century Scholars program a priority within his 2023 legislative agenda. Administration officials said auto-enrollment shouldn’t be a cost to the state for six to seven years.

Science of Reading bill draws mixed testimony

Senate Bill 402, filed by Sen. Aaron Freeman, R-Indianapolis, would define the “science of reading” and require schools to adopt such curriculum.

The “science of reading” is defined in both bills as the successful integration of concepts such as phonics, vocabulary and comprehension in reading.

Although Indiana lawmakers and education advocates have repeatedly said the state needs to take action to improve the state’s dismal literacy rates, some provisions in Freeman’s bill drew hesitation, especially from teachers.

The Indiana State Teachers Association (ISTA), the state’s largest teachers union, specifically pointed to language in the bill that directs schools to post reading materials online for inspection by parents.

“Our main point of contention in this bill is a requirement that every single material used in connection with K-8 reading must be placed on a website at the beginning of the school year and updated each semester,” said Jerell Blakeley, ISTA’s director of government, community, racial and social justice. “I think there’s an opportunity for us to get to a common sense solution that furthers the agenda of the bill, as well as to — I can’t believe I’m saying this — deregulate aspects of teaching in Indiana.”

Freeman told the committee he’s meeting with teachers and education groups to address concerns about that portion of the bill. The proposal could come up for a committee vote as soon as next week.

Other bills on the move

In the Senate education committee, lawmakers approved a bill to bring the Dolly Parton Imagination Library program to the entire state. The bill passed 11-0 and now goes to the appropriations committee.

Additionally, Senate Bill 480 passed narrowly, 7-6, onto the full Senate. The bill seeks to streamline numerous teacher regulations. Democrats and teacher union representatives said it also makes “concerning” changes to discussable items during collective bargaining.

All four Democrats on the committee voted against the bill, along with GOP Sens. Jean Leising, R-Oldenburg, and Dan Dernulc, R-Highland.

Sen. Jeff Raatz’s SB 380 also passed the committee in a 9-4 vote and heads to the Senate chamber. State senators heard mixed testimony last week on the bill, which places restrictions on high school graduation waivers and doubles down that schools can have dress codes.

An amendment to the bill approved by the senate committee on Wednesday would further require districts to post high school graduation rates online. The latest draft of the bill also sets a 10% cap on the number of students who can graduate from a school with a waiver before July 1, 2027. After that, the cap drops to 5%.

Another bill that seeks to help Hoosier students regain access to their college transcripts was put on hold, however. Raatz said lawmakers are continuing to have discussions about provisions in the bill.

Construction trades rank & file continue union exodus

By concreteproducts.com | Originally posted on concreteproducts.com

Sources: Associated Builders and Contractors, Washington, D.C.; CP staff

The Union Members Survey from the U.S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics finds the percentage of construction industry wage and salary workers belonging to unions dropped to a record low of 11.7 percent in 2022, versus 12.6 percent the prior year. The recently published document shows construction unions lost 5,000 rank & file over the past year, decreasing from 1.024 million members in 2021 to 1.019 million in 2022. That trend contrasts with an industry headcount that grew to 8.67 million in 2022, up 514,000 year over year.

An Associated Builders and Contractors analysis shows that a historically high 88.3 percent of the 7.6 million-plus U.S. construction industry workforce did not belong to a union last year. Additionally, ABC finds that there has never been a smaller percentage of union members in the construction industry since the BLS began tracking the data in 1973.

“Year-over-year construction union membership dropped despite robust overall job growth, suggesting that industry workers are not enthusiastic about joining a union when given a choice to do so,” says ABC Vice President of Regulatory, Labor and State Affairs Ben Brubeck. “This illustrates why the administration should not continue to advance controversial policies specific to the construction industry that require its workers to join a union and/or pay union dues, as well as contribute into union benefits plans, as a condition of employment on a taxpayer-funded federal project.”

“For example, Executive Order 14063, which requires federal agencies to mandate anticompetitive and wasteful project labor agreements on federal construction projects of $35 million or more—and other policies promoting PLAs on federally assisted state and local government infrastructure projects—are expected to result in more infrastructure jobs for unionized contractors and more jobs for union members at the expense of taxpayers and the 88.3 percent of the U.S. construction workforce that freely chooses not to join a union.”

Research shows that PLA mandates increase the cost of construction by 12 percent to 20 percent and result in the confiscation of 34 percent of a nonunion construction worker’s compensation package unless he or she joins a bargaining unit and becomes vested in union plans.

“Instead of encouraging unions to improve their product and value proposition to employees, contractors and developers,” Brubeck contends, the White House “continues to implement administrative and regulatory actions favoring unions––and push legislation such as the PRO Act––in an effort to increase union membership, which is in historical decline.”

Law ending Biden’s COVID vax mandate for healthcare workers passes U.S. House

By The Iowa Standard | Originally posted on theiowastandard.com

On Tuesday, Congressman Jeff Duncan’s Freedom for Health Care Workers Act passed the House of Representatives with bipartisan support (227 to 203). This legislation would end the Biden Administration’s COVID-19 vaccine mandate for healthcare workers and nullifies the rule issued by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services on November 5, 2021. Congressman Duncan introduced similar legislation (H.J. Res. 67) in 2021, and introduced H.R. 497 last week with over 70 Republican cosponsors. Click HERE for Congressman Duncan’s remarks on H.R. 497 on the House floor.

“The bipartisan passage of the Freedom for Health Care Workers Act in the House is a win for medical freedom and individual liberty,” said Congressman Jeff Duncan. “Over the past few years, far too many Americans were forced to get this shot against their will to keep their job, while others were fired or forced to walk away from their profession altogether. I began leading the charge against Joe Biden’s authoritarian vaccine mandate in 2021 when the frontline workers who were praised as heroes in the early days of the pandemic were forced to get to the shot or get out, even as we struggled with a nationwide staff shortage in the health care industry.”

“Imposing the COVID shot on our health care workers is unscientific and un-American, especially as we now know the COVID shot is ineffective at preventing transmission,” said Congressman Jeff Duncan. “Joe Biden’s draconian COVID authoritarianism has no place in this country, and I urge my colleagues in the Senate to ‘follow the science’ and see this legislation through. While this is an important step, the fight is far from over, and I will continue fighting to end all of Joe Biden’s remaining COVID mandates.”

What Other Stakeholders are Saying:

Freedom Works:“FreedomWorks has consistently believed that the decision on whether to receive the COVID-19 vaccine or not should be left up to the individual and not the government. Congress should also be the branch that writes laws that impacts every American, not unelected bureaucrats. Hospitals and health care systems across the country are facing staffing issues that are directly impacting the quality of care Americans receive and keeping qualified individuals from working only worsens the crisis and harms more people. We thank Rep. Duncan for being a leading voice for Freedom through his service in Congress.”

“Associated Builders and Contractors has consistently opposed the Biden administration’s insistence on imposing unnecessary and overreaching COVID-19 vaccination mandates on our nation’s construction workforce,” said Kristen Swearingen, ABC’s Vice President of Legislative and Political Affairs. “Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, ABC member employers consistently demonstrated their commitment and willingness to create safe and healthy jobsite conditions because health and safety are always our No. 1 priority. H.R.497 would eliminate unnecessary compliance costs and burdens imposed on contractors that provide vital services to our nation’s hospitals and health care facilities and would ensure work opportunities for thousands of experienced, skilled construction workers throughout the country.”

“To continue the vaccine requirements continues to hamstring our ability to serve older adults in need. The restrictive nature of these requirements creates significant headwinds in each community’s ability to hire the best caregivers,” said David Buckshorn, CEO/President of a Continuing Care Retirement Community in South Carolina andChair of Public Policy for LeadingAge South Carolina. “In this time of great inflationary challenges and skilled worker shortages, the layering of requirements on the application process ties our hands behind our back.  As we have fought for a dwindling pool of willing skilled employees, our wages have increased beyond our consumers’ ability to pay.  Adding vaccine requirements, which many feel are actually putting them at greater health risk than the virus itself, limits our pool that much more.”

Biden’s big union policies are a double-whammy to my small business

By Mario Burgos | Originally posted on foxnews.com

In 2009, at the height of the Great Recession, my family business pivoted to focus on federal construction opportunities made possible under the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, signed into law by President Barack Obama. Our company, Burgos Group, became a vehicle for realizing the American Dream of two brothers who are first-generation Americans—our father emigrated from Ecuador and is now a U.S. citizen.

Under the Obama and Trump administrations, our company grew from two to 195 employees with a track record of completing over 100 sustainability, renovation and modernization projects for 13 different federal agencies from coast to coast. Our growth landed us on the Inc. 5000 Fastest Growing Private Companies list six years in a row—something achieved by only three percent of the companies on that list.

However, since President Biden came to office, our workforce has shrunk by 40 percent! Never in my life have I experienced the economic or regulatory challenges that I am facing right now.

Construction materials prices are up more than 36 percent since the start of COVID-19. Recently, we asked a supplier to rebid electrical transformers for a project and the price came back more than double what it had been the last time it was quoted. Even worse, there is a 105-107-week lead time, meaning a potential project delay of two years.

Additionally, construction business owners like me are facing a workforce shortage of over half a million workers nationwide.

Instead of removing barriers to winning work, the Biden administration advances anti-competitive policies that shut the door to opportunities for businesses like mine to participate in the largest investment in infrastructure this country has ever seen. President Biden’s policies are a double-whammy to my community. They will raise the costs of the projects, which means more money on fewer projects, to the detriment of our neighborhoods.

New Mexico is a minority-majority state comprised predominantly of minority-owned small businesses, particularly in the construction industry. 90 percent of construction workers in New Mexico choose not to belong to a union. So, when President Biden mandates project labor agreements on federal construction projects over $35 million in New Mexico via Executive Order 14063, they are steering contracts and jobs away from the New Mexico construction community to large, out-of-state unionized contractors from Los Angeles, Chicago and New York.

The union leaders who will profit from anti-competitive PLA defend the policy by saying it is only for large projects over $35 million. What they conveniently leave out is the fact that all federal projects that go to large businesses require small business subcontractors. Merit shop small businesses like mine will be forced to either watch the work go to out-of-state firms from big city, union hot spots, or will have to tell the majority of their workers they cannot work on the contract because President Biden has mandated that we hire from union halls.

Worse, cities like Albuquerque are following the administration’s lead in an even more punitive manner. When the Biden administration created new policies pushing PLAs on hundreds of billions of dollars of federally assisted projects procured by state and local governments, the mayor of Albuquerque vetoed the City Council rejection of a PLA mandate and put it place for every city project at less than one third of that the federal threshold—$10 million—in an attempt to curry favor with the administration and win more federal agency infrastructure grant money.

Forced PLA agreements keep small businesses small and move the American Dream further from the grasp of minority communities.

Under a mandatory PLA policy, our company would not have had the same opportunity for growth. Instead of hiring employees, finding work and growth opportunities for them from one project to the next, our company would have been forced to shift the work from our employees to labor from union halls for the length of the project. When the project is done, those union workers will go back to the hall to work for other contractors, and our small business will no longer have a base of existing employees with which to build and grow our business. In the unlikely event a PLA allows a small number of my existing nonunion employees to work on a PLA project, they would have to pay as much as 34 percent of their paychecks in union dues and union benefits and lose all contributions unless they join a union and become vested in those plans.

In addition, research has found PLA mandates increase the cost of construction 12 percent to 20 percent. In short, PLAs are a lose-lose for taxpayers, the vast majority of America’s construction workforce and quality small businesses like mine. Despite having a strong track record as a federal contractor that has resulted in awards from the Small Business Administration, Burgos Group will not bid on projects with PLAs in place. This means one less qualified and proven minority-owned small business competing for work.

The Biden administration is giving big city unions exactly what they want, and my community is suffering.

Associated Builders and Contractors Institute Names Ladd Henley Occupational Safety and Health Director

Originally posted on citybiz.co
Associated Builders and Contractors Institute Apprenticeship College (ABCI), the education and training arm of Associated Builders and Contractors Florida East Coast Chapter, is pleased to announce that Ladd Henley has joined as Occupational Safety and Health Director.

In this role, Henley will be responsible for safety-related membership services such as various forms of safety training, third-party jobsite inspection and safety program development and review. In addition, he will lead activities to enhance and grow the Institute’s safety presence in preapprenticeship, construction education and apprenticeship programs offered in Florida.

“Ladd has a proven track record in construction safety and will be an asset as we look to round out our construction safety curriculum,” said Nathan Ferree, Chief Operating Officer of ABCI.

Henley has nearly 30 years of construction experience with 18 being dedicated exclusively to construction safety. His overall commitment is to developing relationships, assisting construction companies with safety hazard mitigation and helping to protect the workforce from accidents along with assistance protecting employers from costly delays due to incidents or accidents. He speaks fluent Spanish.

Prior to joining ABCI, Henley served as a Regional Safety Manager for Kast Construction as well as Corporate Safety Director for Burke Construction Group, Inc.

Associated Builders and Contractors Institute is a 501(c)3 organization dedicated to providing diverse, affordable and high-quality classes, apprenticeships and other construction industry-related programs throughout South Florida and the Space Coast. Since 1950, ABC has been working to attract and retain a quality construction workforce and invests more than $2.6 million locally each year to construction education and training.

Michigan Legislature Sets Stage for Policy Battle

By Scott McClallen | Originally posted on tennesseestar.com

Michigan Democrats filed bills aiming to fulfill a 40-year pending wishlist, which include restoring the prevailing wage and repealing right to work.

Other bills filed include repealing the retirement tax, boosting the earned income tax credit, and repealing the 1931 abortion ban despite a constitutional amendment voiding the law.

“House Democrats are committed to supporting Michigan families, guaranteeing the rights of all Michiganders are protected and respected, ensuring workers know they are valued, protecting and investing in our future, and promoting safe and strong communities,” House Speaker Joe Tate, D-Detroit, said in a statement. “Our commitment to make good on our promise to advance the priorities of the people is made clear with the introduction of these first bills of the session.”

In 2018, Michigan’s GOP-majority Legislature repealed the prevailing wage measure that required contractors to pay union wages on state construction projects. However, in 2021, Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer ordered the Department of Technology, Management and Budget to require contractors be paid the prevailing wage on jobs worth more than $50,000.

The announcements were met with pushback from the private sector, which would pay higher costs for construction, along with the government.

The trade association Associated Builders and Contractors of Michigan opposes restoring the prevailing wage. ABC Michigan CEO and President Jimmy Greene said that if the prevailing wage was restored, it would set 100,000 different wage mandates for Michigan construction.

“Usurping local control by forcing this mandate on local governments, schools, community colleges, and universities is not defendable,” Green said in a statement. “Regardless of where someone stands on the economic debate over prevailing wage requirements, nobody is seriously of the opinion that navigating 100,000 wage mandates every year makes sense. If this issue is going to be debated let’s have the thoughtful conversation that needs to take place and agree there is surely a more common-sense way to address public construction wage and benefit requirements than attacking workers and builders with 100,000 new requirements.”

Whitmer tweeted on Thursday that the bills would help Michiganders hit hard by inflation.

Her tweet read, “Michiganders are feeling the pinch with the high cost of essential goods like gas and groceries. We’re introducing new legislation that will cut costs for working families and support our seniors. We’re putting Michiganders first and getting things done!”

Michigan Freedom Fund Executive Director Sarah Anderson said the group plans to defend the right-to-work law. Enacted in 2012, the rule says nobody can be required to pay dues or fees to a union to hold a job.

“Politicians in Lansing have barely been on the job a week and they’re already declaring war on more than 150,000 Michigan workers who’ve exercised their constitutional rights over the last 10 years,” Anderson said in a statement. “Repealing right-to-work would strip working families of their rights, stifle wage growth, kill jobs, and make Michigan dramatically less attractive to new employers.”

How Technology Bridges the Construction Trade and Talent Gap

By Doron Klein | Originally posted on forconstructionpros.com 

The construction industry is experiencing an ongoing hiring drought, and the challenge of hiring has led to a loss of business for many general contractors. A recent report from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce Commercial Construction Index indicated that 92 percent of contractors reported difficulty finding construction workers. Of those, 42 percent said that this has caused them to turn down work.

According to the Associated Builders and Contractors, the second half of 2022 will expand the construction hiring issue due to inflation, federal spending, an aging workforce, and persistent shortages. As we combat these obstacles, it becomes necessary to prioritize recruitment, retention, employee training, and workplace safety. Investing in technology solutions is key to the construction industry’s success.

Technology Positively Impacts Worker Retention

Construction is known to be a physical profession, which creates real workforce problems as individuals age out of the work. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the average age of a construction worker is about 42 years old, and 36 percent are between the ages of 45 and 64. Advanced technology solutions help to elongate the careers of construction workers and retain this crucial segment of aging talent.

The stress of making decisions on the fly that impact quality, schedule, and cost is alleviated when technology provides certainty via real-time data. For example, before pouring the concrete, digitally verifying installation progress, quality, and dimensional layouts would enable the identification of errors and omissions in the slab relative to the plans and shop drawings. Subcontractors can then use that data to make relevant corrections before concrete is poured and utilize it as a source of truth for the future. This precision eliminates decisions based on second-guessing inherent in today’s manual quality control processes, leading to increased productivity and schedule acceleration.

Technology that increases construction accuracy and reduces mistakes will unlock the potential for a higher degree of communication, certainty, schedule, and cost. Accurate, real-time data equips teams to identify errors, gain heightened accountability, and collaborate better because the insights show where attention is needed now, rather than having to tell a team member that mistakes were made after the fact. This eliminates finger-pointing when an error is identified and creates a more positive environment that boosts morale and employee retention.

The Key to Unlocking the Future Workforce’s Potential

The early adoption of technology, such as plan verification software that provides real-time actionable insights on a project, will improve the construction work environment and potentially attract more professionals in the near future. A new superintendent typically needs up to six years of field management work to become fully trained in how to forecast errors. With technology-enabled data, contractors can cut that process down to as little as two years. The checks and balances provided by data-informed reports identify a variety of issues and alert field mistakes as they happen, equipping the superintendent to know what to look for and getting them up to speed in the field quicker.

Trade schools were once seen as a “fallback” option in the 1980s and ‘90s but are now more attractive for those who graduated high school mid-pandemic. According to ECMC Group, a teen’s likelihood of pursuing a four-year degree decreased 23 percentage points between May 2020 and September 2021, down to 48 percent from 71 percent. Given the tools to succeed, construction can become a more attractive job option for recent graduates.

When we equip trades with cutting-edge tools, the construction industry becomes a more attractive career path, especially for younger individuals who have an easier time adopting new technology. While we train the future workforce to use data effectively on the jobsite, we’re teaching them how to adapt to new technologies and better prepare them for their future.

Accurate data-based technology allows management to accelerate lessons learned for employees before it’s too late, showing them solutions rather than just problems. If a worker is repeatedly improperly spacing panels or installing crooked components, real-time documentation allows the project manager to identify where retraining is needed. Documenting errors along the way equips the team to improve work processes and instruct workers on how to succeed moving forward when reporting mistakes.

Leveraging Technology to Improve Worker Safety

Over 40 percent of American workers report experiencing increased mental distress due to the pandemic, and over 85 percent say that work impacts their mental health, according to the National Safety Council. Prolonged workplace distress causes fatigue and impacts worker safety. The risk this presents extends to construction trades. According to the U.S. Occupational Health and Safety Administration (OSHA), decreased alertness from worker fatigue has factored into industrial disasters, prime examples being the 2005 Texas City BP oil refinery explosion, the 2009 Colgan Air Crash, the explosion of the space shuttle Challenger, and the nuclear accidents at Chernobyl and Three Mile Island.

The most significant contributor to construction workplace safety incidents is unplanned work, with an estimated 70 percent of safety incidents happening during rework. When workers aren’t in a planned workflow, like during the rework process, they are contending with heightened risk and stress. The uncertainty leaves them more vulnerable to making mistakes that can cause financial losses within the project or, even worse: increase the likelihood of injury. With the proper tools and actionable data insights that catch problems before they happen, general contractors avoid rework and improve the well-being of trades.

Technology Improves Productivity and Accuracy

Contractors orchestrate a project according to a schedule, and when a schedule slides, it affects costs and penalties and limits their teams from moving on to the next project. By leveraging technology and data, industry professionals will streamline the construction process by speeding up tasks, ensuring better quality, and protecting budgets.

For example, façade installation is complicated to inspect and ensure quality control. Any unseeded gasket and missing coupling bar will cause structural issues and warranty concerns if unattended. Digital verification platforms enable confirmation of every square inch of the exterior without superintendents having to do it from the ground level and balconies manually. By shifting the weight of this obstacle to data-informed technology, general contractors can reduce risk and eliminate errors, saving time and resources through greater efficiency. This process allows general contractors to more precisely understand how to budget for contingency time, which should be reserved for unavoidable circumstances like weather delays. Through this heightened efficiency, industry leaders maximize the productive time of workers, freeing them from endless hours of manually checking every detail and allowing them to focus on more significant parts of the work.

Data-driven processes better equip construction decision-makers to combat the prevalent labor shortage through tools that improve worker retention, training, and worksite safety. Whether improving workplace morale by providing certainty and eliminating errors or streamlining the construction process by freeing up the team to complete more meaningful tasks, technology is the key to bridging the construction trade and talent gap and accelerating the industry forward.

ABC: Construction Employment Up By 28,000 in December

Originally posted on constructionbusinessowner.com 

The construction industry added 28,000 jobs on net in December, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) analysis of data released today by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. On a year-over-year basis, industry employment has risen by 231,000 jobs or 3.1%.

Nonresidential construction employment increased by 17,900 positions on net, with growth in all three subcategories. Nonresidential specialty trade contractors added 10,200 net new jobs, while nonresidential building and heavy and civil engineering added 5,800 and 1,900 jobs, respectively.

The construction unemployment rate rose to 4.4% in December. Unemployment across all industries declined from 3.6% in November to 3.5% last month.

“This employment report indicates that contractors collectively remain in expansion mode despite rising costs of capital and fears of recession,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “Consistent with upbeat assessments of construction activity late last year, nonresidential contractors continue to ramp up staffing in the context of elevated backlog. In ABC’s Construction Confidence Index, contractors indicated that both sales and employment would continue to rise over the next six months.

“There was additional good news emerging from the overall U.S. economy,” said Basu. “Though the labor market remains strong and job creation persists, there are indications that wage pressures are easing. Nonetheless, the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates to restore inflation to its 2% target, with the implication that a recession remains a real possibility in 2023. Based on historical precedent, that could produce more challenging times for contractors in 2024 and/or 2025.”

ABC 1

 

ABC 2

Construction

Construction forecasters remain cautiously optimistic about this year, with growing concerns about 2024

By Kermit Baker, Hon. AIA | Originally posted on aia.org 

CCF Jan 23

Spending on nonresidential buildings picked up momentum toward the end of 2022, with gains approaching 10% on an annual basis. Much of the increase was the result of materials and labor costs, but still, the results were encouraging given macroeconomic headwinds such as inflation, rising interest rates, and weak consumer sentiment scores.

This year is expected to produce further growth in construction spending, but at a more moderate pace. Overall gains in spending are projected at just under 6%, with almost 3% for the commercial sector, 15% for industrial facilities, and 4% for institutional buildings. Next year, growth in spending is forecast to slow to under 1%, with a decline of 1.4% for commercial, a modest 0.4% increase for industrial, and a 3.8% increase for institutional facilities.

An unbalanced year for construction in 2022

While the spending gains this past year were impressive, they also were uneven by sector. The commercial/industrial sector increased by over 15%, as did retail and other facilities (which includes distribution), spurred on by strong gains in manufacturing, Manufacturing gains have resulted in large part due to reshoring efforts by U.S. companies. The Reshoring Institute estimates that reshoring and other foreign direct investment in the U.S. produced 350,000 manufacturing positions in 2022, almost three times the average of the prior decade.

The distribution component of the retail category has seen the strongest growth of any major building sector over the past decade. Due to explosive growth in e-commerce, the construction of distribution facilities has increased by nine-fold over this period, compared to just over 50% in overall gains in spending on buildings.

The other two major commercial building categories – offices and lodging – essentially saw no gains last year as both sectors were still adjusting to the reduction in demand during the pandemic. The institutional categories saw only very modest spending growth last year, with healthcare and amusement/recreation being the only major sectors with increases of 5% or more.

Even though the pace of growth is slowing, there continues to be dramatic increases in input costs for construction projects. The most recent figures from the US Department of Labor estimate that input costs increased almost 10% over the past year. While very high by historical standards, this growth rate is only about half of its growth pace in late 2021.

It is difficult to separate real gains in construction activity from mere inflation in labor and material prices. However, one method for disentangling the two is to look at construction employment levels, since increases in employment would strongly suggest an increase in output. Over the past year, nonresidential construction employment increased almost 4%, suggesting that a significant share of the increased spending resulted in increased construction output.

The slowdown unfolds…

Entering 2023, the construction industry will be confronted with mounting challenges. In addition to high levels of inflation, rising interest rates, and continued supply change issues, many economic forecasters expect a recession this year, likely in the first half. While that will certainly impact the construction outlook, it will do so with a considerable lag. Most projects already underway as the slowdown hits are likely to continue to completion, and the Associated Builders and Contractors reported that backlogs at contractors were averaging nine months in late 2022.

Still, signs of a construction slowdown are emerging. The American Institute of Architects’ Architecture Billings Index fell below the significant 50 threshold in the fourth quarter of last year, indicating a decline in billings nationally. Research conducted by the AIA determined that the lead time between design activity and construction activity runs in the 9–12-month range, suggesting a slowdown in construction spending some time around the third or fourth quarter next year.

Like construction companies, architecture firms are sitting on elevated backlogs of around seven months. However, unlike construction companies, architecture firms have seen that backlogs can evaporate when business conditions weaken as clients may decide to delay or even cancel projects if they no longer make economic sense.

Despite strong revenue growth last year, architecture firms have modest expectations as to how much revenue will increase this coming year. After reporting average revenue growth of almost 7% last year, projections for this year were lowered to below 1%, with 30% of firms expecting a revenue decline of 5% or more. Multifamily residential firms are expecting the steepest revenue declines, while institutional firms are anticipating growth about twice the overall average for the profession.

The members of the AIA Consensus Construction Forecast panel have a similar outlook in terms of the performance of key sectors this year. While overall growth is expected to be almost 6%, the commercial sector is expected to see the weakest gains at 2.6%. Spending on institutional structures is projected to increase over 4%, and a whopping 15% for industrial facilities.

… as the market softens in 2024

The construction slowdown that is expected to begin in the latter half of this year is projected to continue into 2024. With overall growth of less than 1% next year, spending on commercial facilities is projected to decline by over 1%, and industrial construction should eke out a very modest gain of less than one-half of 1%.

However, the institutional sector is projected to keep the overall nonresidential building market in the growth category. The 4% expected growth for 2023 is projected to fall only modestly to just below 4% for 2024. The two key pillars of the institutional market – health care and education – are both projected to have relatively healthy years with growth in health care spending slowing modestly to 3.2%, and education accelerating to 4.6%.

Reconstruction work on the rise

Over the past few decades, there has been a steady increase in the share of revenue at architecture firms coming from reconstruction projects – renovations, retrofits, building additions, and historic preservation. Part of this derives from an expanding interest in sustainability – fixing up an older building is more environmentally sensitive than tearing that building down and constructing a new one. However, fundamental economics and demographics likely play an equal or greater role. Slower population growth in recent years and the resulting slower growth in the economy means that we don’t need to expand our building stock at the pace we did a decade or two ago.

We’re seeing this increased growth in the reconstruction share across all major building categories. Architecture firms reported that in 2021, 62% of their revenue from commercial and industrial facilities came from reconstruction projects, up from 38% 15 years ago. Institutional work has seen a similar trend, with revenue from reconstruction projects rising to 61% from 38% 15 years ago. The residential sector is starting from a lower base, with remodeling work accounting for 40% of billings in 2021 from a level of 26% 15 years ago. This does not imply that that homes are not remodeled as much as buildings, but rather that much of the redesign work in this sector doesn’t occur at architecture firms.

It’s likely that the pandemic has provided a boost to reconstruction activity. Many building uses have changed  substantially with the pandemic as consumer spending behavior has evolved. An AIA survey last spring found that adaptive reuse and conversion was the single most important goal of reconstruction projects at that time, accounting for over a quarter of all reconstruction work. Basic interior modernization and tenant fit outs were the next most popular goals, accounting for just under 25% and just under 18% respectively. If a soft economy, high inflation, and high interest rates make more construction projects less feasible in the coming quarters, we can expect continued growth in the share of work coming from reconstruction projects, and a buffer against a more serious setback for the profession.

$52B CHIPS Act a boon for construction, but challenges remain

By Sebastian Obando | Originally posted on constructiondive.com

The White House announced Wednesday President Joe Biden will sign the $52 billion CHIPS Act, which subsidizes the semiconductor industry and provides a 25% tax credit for companies that build facilities in the U.S., on August 9.

Platitudes from construction pros started piling in as soon as Congress passed the bill last week.

Richard Branch, chief economist for Dodge Data & Analytics, said the CHIPS Act will “keep the construction sector on sure footing as the economy slows over the next year.” He added Dodge is currently tracking nearly $33 billion in semiconductor fabrication plants still in the planning stages.

James Christianson, vice president of government relations at the Associated General Contractors of America, said the act will “spur broader economic development and new, long-term construction jobs,” in a letter praising the passage of the CHIPS Act.

Despite those accolades, challenges remain.

Labor shortage

For example, there are a limited number of specialty contractors with the skill and experience in the semiconductor space, said Jeffrey Gilmore, chair of Akerman’s construction practice, a law firm based in Miami.

“The current demand and shortage of skilled labor will present a substantial challenge for the teams selected to perform such projects,” said Gilmore. “Ultimately, successful project delivery will demand a nimble team prepared to perform very specialized design and construction services suited to the clean building environment necessary for a precision industrial chip facility.”

The pace and complexity of such projects will present additional challenges. These jobs typically require progressive design-build and engineering, procurement and construction approaches, Gilmore said, as well as heightened security.

“Access to a workforce with security clearances will likely provide a further complication that may limit the pool of qualified candidates,” said Gilmore. “Access to federal funds will also likely entail a unique set of compliance issues to address relevant requirements that will be mandated as a condition of the funding.”

Davis-Bacon questions

Peter Comstock, senior director of legislative affairs at Associated Builders and Contractors, also raised concerns about how Davis-Bacon regulations, which set prevailing wages on federal projects, will be included on private construction jobs.